Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 10.575554 12.173228 13.883778 15.846064 18.029367 20.378424 23.091267
2025-11-16 8.107011 10.200796 12.602205 15.539727 19.014432 22.971358 27.794688
2025-11-23 6.491220 8.766676 11.520873 15.059082 19.439382 24.637870 31.223137
2025-11-30 5.575002 7.992707 11.053434 15.145878 20.400583 26.842809 35.250550
2025-12-07 4.856031 7.351199 10.640319 15.196617 21.235798 28.849263 39.039901
2025-12-14 4.317012 6.870329 10.362198 15.355168 22.161441 30.953252 42.980443
2025-12-21 3.827097 6.391557 10.024029 15.375368 22.862813 32.753091 46.554020
2025-12-28 3.527806 6.151284 9.984789 15.781563 24.077009 35.246093 51.095903
2026-01-04 3.233034 5.880730 9.868426 16.051345 25.090807 37.482751 55.346593
2026-01-11 2.923107 5.549187 9.626075 16.106132 25.780921 39.277948 59.032325
2026-01-18 2.542856 5.058020 9.092949 15.678740 25.732090 40.016950 61.257262
2026-01-25 2.231903 4.647109 8.646942 15.343458 25.783140 40.874838 63.647884
2026-02-01 1.953349 4.263870 8.217018 15.007623 25.819214 41.718174 66.060230
2026-02-08 1.717450 3.929573 7.837941 14.721819 25.906717 42.625954 68.579473
2026-02-15 1.483072 3.567337 7.376399 14.262172 25.686239 43.050384 70.384493
2026-02-22 1.356719 3.402362 7.246641 14.345201 26.322856 44.773931 74.144835
2026-03-01 1.238637 3.239208 7.104796 14.393738 26.897427 46.411144 77.810279
2026-03-08 1.145374 3.116824 7.027079 14.545416 27.640891 48.323821 81.933722
2026-03-15 1.045313 2.966342 6.882179 14.564742 28.157604 49.889574 85.559361
2026-03-22 0.995061 2.922767 6.940772 14.953391 29.309588 52.486444 90.831479
2026-03-29 0.934830 2.848076 6.930575 15.211564 30.243305 54.755714 95.643172
2026-04-05 0.859584 2.726978 6.815579 15.263998 30.817301 56.455592 99.596992
2026-04-12 0.750516 2.504936 6.471010 14.855001 30.557252 56.782122 101.379064